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The Rise and Fall of TerraUSD + LUNA: Lessons Learned

Updated: Nov 6


Once upon a time, a stablecoin called TerraUSD (UST) and its trusty sidekick, LUNA, were the talk of the blockchain town. These two made some mighty big claims about being steady as a rock and delivering returns that would make your head spin.


But then, in May 2022, the fairy tale turned into a nightmare. The house of cards came crashing down, leaving devastation in its wake. Billions were lost and the entire crypto market was shaken to its core.


TerraUSD and LUNA were once the shining stars of the crypto industry. Their success seemed unstoppable – until it wasn't. What caused their meteoric rise and catastrophic fall? Join us as we investigate the factors that led to their undoing.


What are TerraUSD and LUNA? What is the difference?


  • TerraUSD (UST) was designed as a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar, aiming to maintain its value at $1 through a complex algorithmic system involving the burning and minting of tokens.

  • LUNA was the sister token of TerraUSD, used in the Terra ecosystem to help stabilize UST's price by absorbing the price volatility through a mechanism where LUNA could be burned to mint UST and vice versa.


The Relationship between TerraUSD and LUNA

Here's the thing about UST - it wasn't backed by actual dollars or other traditional assets like most stablecoins. Instead, it relied on complex algorithms and its relationship with LUNA to maintain its peg. When UST's price dipped below $1, traders could "burn" the stablecoin (remove it from circulation) in exchange for $1 worth of LUNA. This would reduce the UST supply and drive the price back up. On the flip side, if UST's value exceeded $1, LUNA holders could swap their tokens for UST, increasing the stablecoin's supply and bringing its price back down.


LUNA played a crucial role in the Terra ecosystem. It acted as a sort of collateral for UST. Whenever new UST was minted, an equivalent amount of LUNA was burned. This symbiotic relationship was meant to keep UST stable and allow LUNA's value to grow. The Terra blockchain also hosted other projects, most notably Anchor Protocol, which offered eye-popping 20% yields on UST deposits. This drove significant demand for both UST and LUNA.


Key Players Behind TerraUSD and LUNA

The masterminds behind TerraUSD and LUNA were Do Kwon and Daniel Shin, co-founders of Terraform Labs. Their vision was to create a decentralized financial system with UST as a major pillar. Other notable entities involved included the Luna Foundation Guard (LFG), a non-profit aimed at supporting the Terra ecosystem, and major crypto exchanges like Binance and Coinbase that listed UST and LUNA for trading.


The Rise and Fall of TerraUSD and LUNA



The story of UST and LUNA is a dramatic tale of incredible highs followed by a devastating collapse. Let's walk through the key events.


Early Success and Adoption

In its heyday, the Terra ecosystem was a rising star in the crypto space. UST quickly became a popular stablecoin, with many praising its decentralized model and attractive yields on Anchor Protocol. LUNA also saw massive growth, reaching an all-time high of over $119 in April 2022. The total value locked (TVL) on the Terra blockchain reached nearly $26 billion. Major investors like Galaxy Digital and Pantera Capital backed the project.


The Beginning of the End

However, cracks started to appear in May 2022. Large withdrawals from Anchor Protocol put significant strain on UST's peg. Around the same time, over $2 billion worth of UST was unstaked (removed from various DeFi protocols), with hundreds of millions of that swapped for other stablecoins or fiat. This massive sell-off caused UST to depeg, falling as low as $0.62. The LFG deployed over $1.3 billion in bitcoin reserves to defend the peg, but to no avail. Panic spread and both UST and LUNA went into a death spiral.


The Collapse of UST and LUNA

The Terra ecosystem completely unraveled within a matter of days. As UST lost its peg, arbitrageurs swapped the stablecoin for LUNA en masse, causing LUNA's supply to hyperinflate from 345 million tokens to over 6.5 trillion. LUNA's price crashed to a fraction of a cent, while UST bottomed out at around $0.13. The contagion spread to the broader crypto market, wiping out nearly $400 billion in value. Crypto lender Celsius and hedge fund Three Arrows Capital were among the most prominent casualties. Many drew comparisons to a ponzi scheme, arguing that the 20% yields on Anchor Protocol were unsustainable and that Terra's model was fundamentally flawed. The project's implosion raised serious questions about the viability of algorithmic stablecoins.


Aftermath of the TerraUSD and LUNA Crash


The fallout from the UST and LUNA crash was severe and far-reaching. Let's unpack some of the key developments in the aftermath.


Creation of Terra Classic and LUNA Classic

In an attempt to revive the project, Do Kwon and Terraform Labs proposed a hard fork of the Terra blockchain. The new chain, known as Terra 2.0, featured a new LUNA token (LUNA2.0). The original chain was rebranded as Terra Classic, with UST, LUNA, and other native assets adding "Classic" to their names (USTC, LUNC, etc.). However, the new chain struggled to gain traction, with many viewing it as a cosmetic rebrand rather than a substantive change.


Legal and Regulatory Fallout

The implosion of UST and LUNA attracted intense scrutiny from regulators worldwide. In South Korea, authorities launched criminal investigations into Terraform Labs and its founders. Do Kwon had an arrest warrant issued against him and was eventually located in Montenegro. Meanwhile, Daniel Shin had his assets frozen by Korean authorities. Class action lawsuits were also filed against Terraform Labs, Kwon, and other parties involved in marketing UST and LUNA to investors.


Impact on Investors and the Crypto Market

The UST/LUNA crash devastated countless investors. Many lost their life savings as LUNA's value evaporated and UST became virtually worthless. The r/TerraLuna subreddit was flooded with tragic stories of financial ruin. Crypto exchanges like Binance, Crypto.com, and Coinbase were also impacted, with some facing class action lawsuits for their role in promoting UST and LUNA. The incident raised concerns about the risks associated with certain stablecoins and crypto assets in general.


Lessons Learned from the TerraUSD and LUNA Debacle


The rise and fall of UST and LUNA offers valuable lessons for the crypto industry moving forward. Here are some of the key takeaways.


The Importance of Transparency and Accountability

One of the biggest criticisms of Terraform Labs and the Luna Foundation Guard was their lack of transparency. There were questions about the actual reserves backing UST, as well as the sustainability of the 20% yields on Anchor Protocol. Moving forward, crypto projects must prioritize transparency and accountability. This means regular audits, clear communication about risks, and a willingness to address community concerns head-on. Investors should also take responsibility to thoroughly research projects before investing.


The Need for Improved Stablecoin Designs

The UST collapse exposed the vulnerabilities of purely algorithmic stablecoins. While the concept is appealing in theory, the execution proved to be flawed. Future stablecoin projects will need to consider more robust designs, potentially incorporating a mix of algorithmic and collateralized models. Regulatory frameworks may also emerge to ensure adequate reserves and risk management practices.


The Future of Algorithmic Stablecoins

Despite the UST failure, some still believe in the potential of algorithmic stablecoins. Projects like Frax Finance have emerged, aiming to learn from Terra's mistakes and offer improved designs. However, the road ahead is uncertain. Algorithmic stablecoins will need to rebuild trust and prove their resilience in the face of market volatility. Regulators will also likely keep a close eye on this space.


Ultimately, the UST/LUNA saga serves as a cautionary tale about the risks of unproven financial models and the importance of due diligence in the crypto space. As the industry matures, it will be crucial to prioritize stability, transparency, and consumer protection. Only time will tell if algorithmic stablecoins can rise from the ashes of UST and LUNA, or if their story will serve as a permanent reminder of the dangers of unchecked experimentation in the world of decentralized finance.


Conclusion


The TerraUSD LUNA debacle will go down in history as one of the most spectacular crashes in the world of crypto. It's a stark reminder that in this space, nothing is guaranteed, and even the most promising projects can come crashing down in the blink of an eye.


Amidst the rubble lie valuable insights we can't ignore. Being open and honest, creating strong foundations, and balancing excitement with realism. TerraUSD LUNA may be gone, but its legacy will live on. It's up to us to heed the warnings, learn from the mistakes, and build a stronger, more resilient future for the world of crypto.


FAQ


Is TerraLUNAever coming back?

TerraLUNA's original form took a hit, but it's morphing. Efforts to revive and reshape it are in play.


Is LUNA a dead coin?

LUNA a faced a steep dive but isn't extinct. The community and developers are pushing for its comeback story.


How much is TerraLUNA worth today?

The value fluctuates daily with market whims. For the latest, check real-time crypto trackers or exchange platforms.


Disclaimer

The information contained herein has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for financial, legal, or investment advice. Wirex and any of its respective employees and affiliates do not provide financial, legal, or investment advice.


The value of cryptoassets may fluctuate significantly over a short period of time. The volatile and unprecedented fluctuations in price may result in significant losses over a short period of time. Any Cryptoassets may decrease in value or lose all its value due to various factors including discovery of wrongful conduct, market manipulation, change to the nature or properties of the Cryptoasset, governmental or regulatory activity, legislative changes, suspension or cessation of support for a Cryptoassets or other exchanges or service providers, public opinion, or other factors outside of our control. Technical advancements, as well as broader economic and political factors, may cause the value of Cryptoassets to change significantly over a short period of time.


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